Round #2: Boston Celtics (4-0) vs. Miami Heat (4-1)
The Miami Heat has home court advantage in this series but the Celtics beat them 3 out of 4 games this year and they aren’t scared to play on the road. This could be an epic series and here’s how I see the matchups:
POINT GUARD: Mike Bibby started in the first playoff series against the Sixers but he’s on thin ice. He played in 5 games (all starts) in the series against the Sixers and he averaged 19.8 minutes, 3.2 points, 2.4 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game. Bibby only shot 6 of 28 (21.4%) from three-point range in the first round of the playoffs. Mario Chalmers will likely see a lot of P.T. in this series.
Rajon Rondo is going to cause big matchup problems for the Heat. He played in 4 games (all starts) against the Knicks in the first round of the playoffs and he averaged 42.0 minutes, 19.0 points, 7.3 rebounds, 12.0 assists and 1.0 steal per game. Rondo is too physical for the point guards of the Heat.
EDGE: HUGE FOR CELTICS
SHOOTING GUARD: Dwyane Wade is the best player on the Miami Heat, because he’s not scared to take a big shot. He played in 5 games (all starts) against the Sixers and he averaged 38.0 minutes, 22.2 points, 8.4 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 1.4 steals and 2.o blocked shots per game. D-Wade has a history of stepping up when pushed, so I look for him to have a good series against the Celtics.
Ray Allen is the ice man for the Celtics. He hit an amazing 17 of 26 (65.4%) shots from three point range against the Knicks as he appears locked in. Allen played in 4 games (all starts) against the Knicks and he averaged 40.0 minutes, 22.0 points, 4.5 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 1.5 steals per game. Allen will likely have to work harder for points against the Heat, but he will get his fair share.
EDGE: HEAT
SMALL FORWARD: Last season, LeBron James mysteriously hurt his elbow against the Celtics in the playoffs, but the many MRIs he had showed no problems. I think the Celtics are in James’ head and it certainly doesn’t help that Delonte West (very, very good friends with LeBron’s mom) will be coming off the bench for Boston. James played in 5 games (all starts) against the 76ers in the first round of the playoffs and he averaged 42.2 minutes, 24.2 points, 10.6 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. The Heat can’t win this series without James playing big….which I think he won’t. When the pressure really gets amped up, James has disappeared in his NBA career.
Paul Pierce is Mr. Clutch for the Celtics. He also plays very well usually against LeBron James. Pierce played in 4 games (all starts) against the Knicks and he averaged 39.0 minutes, 22.3 points, 4.3 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 2.0 steals per game. Pierce is also red hot from three point range as he hit 10 of 20 shots (50%) from three point range against the Knicks.
EDGE: EVEN
POWER FORWARD: Chris Bosh played well in the first two games and the last game against the Sixers. In the Game #3 and #4 he relapsed into the soft player he has been most of the year. Bosh needs to step up in this series, because it’s going to be very physical under the basket. Bosh played in 5 games (all starts) against the Sixers in the first round of the playoffs and he averaged 19.8 points, 9.0 rebounds, 0.8 assists, 1.0 steal and 1.2 blocked shots per game. Bosh, like James, has never been much of a clutch player in the playoffs.
Kevin Garnett looked outstanding in the first round of the playoffs as he clearly outplayed Amare Stoudemire. Garnett played in 4 games (all starts) against the Knicks and he averaged 34.0 minutes, 15.5 points, 11.3 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 2.0 steals per game. Garnett is going to likely be pushing Bosh around in this series and I look for him to levy some hard fouls on LeBron James and D-Wade if they come into his neighborhood in the paint.
EDGE: CELTICS
CENTER: Zydrunas Ilgauskas has been starting at center, but not playing a whole lot. I look for that to continue in this series. Ilgauskas played in 5 games (all starts) against the Sixers and he averaged 13.4 minutes, 5.2 points, 4.6 rebounds and 0.2 assists per game. It’s going to be rough under the basket in this series, so I expect that Joel Anthony will place more than Big Z in this series.
Jermaine O’Neal has been amping up the D during the playoffs. He also would probably like to stick it to the Heat, who didn’t want him back this year. O’Neal played in 4 games (all starts) against the Knicks and he averaged 23.0 minutes, 5.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, 1.0 assist and 2.5 blocked shots per game.
EDGE: EVEN
BENCH: Point guard Mario Chalmers might have a big role in this series for the Heat as Mike Bibby is likely going to get abused by Rajon Rondo. Chalmers played in 5 games (0 starts) against the Sixers and he averaged 24.6 minutes, 7.4 points, 1.8 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 1.4 steals per game. Joel Anthony will probably get the most P.T. at center for the Heat in this series as it’s going to be very physical in the paint. Anthony played in 5 games (0 starts) against the Sixers and he averaged 31.0 minutes, 3.4 points, 5.2 rebounds, 0.2 assists and 1.4 blocked shots per game. SG/SF James Jones will be the long range assassin for the Heat in this series. He played in 5 games (0 starts) against the Sixers and he averaged 24.4 minutes, 7.6 points, 4.4 rebounds and 0.4 assists per game.
Forward Glen “Big Baby” Davis is one of the best backup bigs in the NBA and he’s going to get a lot of work in this series. Davis played in 4 games (0 starts) against the Knicks and he averaged 24.8 minutes, 6.0 points, 5.0 rebounds and 1.0 assist. I think Davis is going to top those numbers in this series. Forward Jeff Green will also likely get his fair share of P.T. in this series. Green played in 4 games (0 starts) against the Knicks and he averaged 16.8 minutes, 6.0 points and 3.5 rebounds per game. PG/SG Delonte West will be the Celtics’ #3 guard in this series and he will likely have LeBron’s mothers full attention from court side. West played in 4 games (0 starts) against the Knicks and he averaged 13.5 minutes, 2.0 points, 2.0 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. Center Nenad Krstic will also likely see a small bump in P.T. Krstic played in 4 games (0 starts) against the Knicks and he averaged 5.8 minutes, 1.0 point, 2.0 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game.
EDGE: SLIGHT FOR CELTICS
COACHING: Erik Spoelstra looks like he finally has the faith of the Heat players as he led them to a 4-1 series win over the Sixers. He is still a little wet behind the ears as far as coaching in the playoffs as his career record is now 8-9 (47.1%).
Doc Rivers is one of the best big game coaches in the NBA today. He led his team to a sweep of the Knicks in the first round of the playoffs. Rivers is now 45-30 (60%) for the Celtics in the playoffs during his career there.
EDGE: CELTICS
PREDICTION: LeBron James and Chris Bosh are two of the least clutch players in the NBA, while the Celtics are loaded with clutch players. I like the Celtics to beat the Heat in 6 games.
